The UK’s total order book balance improved to -9 in September 2026 from -25 in August, marking the strongest reading since July 2023 and beating market expectations of -34. Export orders also improved, while remaining below “normal” at -9, but well above the historical average of -19. Output fell only marginally, with the balance improving sharply to -4 from -17. Manufacturers expect output to decline slightly again through December, at -6. Selling-price expectations also eased considerably to +12 from +22 in August, moving closer to the long-run average of +8 and suggesting some cooling in cost pressures. However, finished-goods inventories were only just adequate, with the balance falling to +2. The CBI said the data point to tentative stabilisation in manufacturing, but warned that high energy, employment and supply-chain costs continue to constrain firms. It said the upcoming Budget could help support investment and growth by reducing business costs and improving confidence.