22 April 2002, 15:46 Forex - Euro slightly weaker in midday London after French election result
LONDON (AFX) - The euro was slightly weaker in early afternoon
trade as some speculative traders took profits following the surprise
outcome in yesterday's first round of the French presidential
elections, dealers said.
"In terms of market positioning, speculative traders have been very
long euro," said Neil Mackinnon, senior currency strategist at Merrill
Lynch. "There's been some sort of profit-taking and you could pin some
of that down to the French elections."
Last night's election means that the far-right candidate Jean Marie
Le Pen will face President Jacques Chirac in a face-off in two weekends
time.
"Although Le Pen has little chance of winning, there have been
worries concerning the state of French democracy," said BNP Paribas'
global head of forex strategy Hans Redeker.
Though, the initial response was shock, Redeker thinks that result
is "not necessarily euro negative" as it raises the chance of the
conservative-liberal block forming the next government, ending the
period of cohabitation.
Meanwhile in Germany, there was another surprise local election
result in the former communist state of Saxony-Anhalt, as the Christian
Democrats ousted the ruling Social Democrats.
Elsewhere, Merrill Lynch's Mackinnon said the dollar "remains on
the defensive" on continuing worries about the current account deficit
and the pace of economic expansion.
He said Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan will later today
reiterate his "cautiously upbeat" view about the state of the US
economy, though the Fed is unlikely to be in a hurry to raise rates.
BNP Paribas' Redeker said the G7 and IMF meetings over the weekend
produced little news.
"While a more upbeat outlook on the global economy has been
developing, rising oil prices and the unstable economic conditions in
Argentina have been cited as risks," said Redeker.
Sterling was relatively well-supported following suggestions by
Bank of England governor Sir Edward George that UK rates will be kept
on hold for some time yet.
© 1999-2024 Forex EuroClub
All rights reserved