23 October 2001, 08:50 Forex - Dollar firm in midmorning Tokyo after euro, yen stop-loss selling
TOKYO (AFX-ASIA) - The dollar was stable at higher levels in
midmorning trade after it broke key resistance against other major
currencies overnight, triggering stop-loss selling of euro- and
yen-long positions, dealers said.
ABN Amro foreign exchange manager Toshihiko Masaki said the dollar
has stabilised after breaching key resistance against both the euro and
yen as long positions were unwound on waning concerns over the attacks
on the US.
He added that the market is dominated by short-term players such as
US and European hedge funds, with Japanese corporates and portfolio
investors sidelined and technical levels becoming more important for
direction than fundamentals.
"People are again becoming bearish for the euro/dollar" given its
persistent failure to hold onto long-term gains, Masaki said, adding
that he believes the sharp losses in the past few days were largely
technical.
"The market is talking about the fundamentals between the US,
Europe and Japan ... but this is just an excuse to me. We have to be
careful over a euro recovery from low levels," he said.
"The positions accumulated after the Sept 11 terrorist attack --
the euro-long positions and yen-long positions -- have been forced out.
I suppose there are no more (such) positions."
Technical support was breached in the euro/dollar at 0.8990 and the
dollar/yen at 122.08, forcing further stop-loss selling, Masaki said,
adding that the 122.08 yen was a key resistance point ahead of the Sept
11 attacks.
Key support for the euro/dollar is now seen around the 0.8850-90
level, while resistance is around 0.9100, and the dollar faces
resistance at 122.70-75 yen, with support at 122.05 in the near-term.
"My view is that the dollar is close to the upside resistance,"
Masaki said, although noting that the euro's recovery may be a slow one
and that the market is unhappy about the possibility of a further delay
in lowering European rates.
"There is a 50-50 chance for a 25 basis point cut (on Thursday) so
the market has been disappointed," he said.
© 1999-2024 Forex EuroClub
All rights reserved