23 August 2001, 12:01 Forex - Euro slightly weaker in early London on German GDP, profit-taking
LONDON (AFX) - The euro was slightly weaker in early trade from
afternoon Tokyo levels, on the back of weak German GDP data and some
profit-taking, dealers said.
"Maybe the fact that the headline year-on-year rate was lower than
expected has something to do with the weakness, but it (the euro) has
been quite volatile this morning and was trading at 0.9140 earlier on,"
Daragh Maher, senior economist at ING Barings said.
Michael Klawitter, a currency strategist at West LB said: "While
clearing the 0.92 resistance on the back of the strong German Ifo
index, euro-dollar soon ran into profit-taking as the market remains
long euro while at the same time investors started to question whether
the massive jump in the Ifo's expectation component will be
sustainable.
"Against this background we expect euro-dollar to stay roughly in
the 0.91-0.92 trading range for the time being. German Q2 GDP growth
which was flat on the quarter while the year-on-year rate declined
sharply from 2.0 pct to 0.6 pct should hardly be euro supportive in
itself. Hawkish comments by Bundesbank officials indicated that the
chance of a rate cut on Aug 30 or Sept 13 may be smaller than generally
priced in," he added.
The yen was little changed in early London trade keeping its losses
from Tokyo trade incurred by weak trade figures.
"Exports have now fallen 14 pct in 4 months," Maher at ING said.
Klawitter at West LB said: "The yen weakened following the much
smaller than expected July trade surplus. Gains in dollar-yen have
however been limited due to the negative sentiment of the dollar. We
expect dollar-yen to range trade before moving higher on the back of
yen weakness. Confirmation by S&P that Japanese life insurers will be
considered as defaulting if they do not pay out guaranteed life
policies, sets the tone for further bad news to come out of Japan. Last
year five life insurers went bust."
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